Betting Lines
| Spread | DEN -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OMA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OMA +3 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | DEN -4.5 (+7.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.3 (-9.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 27% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DEN -2.9 (+5.9) | 147.8 (-6.8) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DEN -3.4 (+6.4) | 150.0 (-9.0) | 34% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DEN -3.2 (+6.2) | 152.3 (-11.3) | 35% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DEN -3.8 (+6.8) | 151.3 (-10.3) | 40% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | OMA 83 – 76 DEN |
| Jan 31, 2026 | OMA 84 – 82 DEN |
| Feb 2, 2025 | OMA 78 – 69 DEN |
| Jan 16, 2025 | OMA 80 – 62 DEN |
| Mar 12, 2024 | DEN 66 – 63 OMA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OMA | DEN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-25 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 7-11 |
| Home | 5-9 | 6-7 |
| Away | 0-15 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 70.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 84.4 | 74.8 |
| Massey | -15.3 (#352) | -8.0 (#297) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.72 (#347) | -1.67 (#305) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.55 (#350) | -2.02 (#301) |
| RPI | 0.396 (#337) | 0.412 (#320) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OMA | DEN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 23.6% | 24.6% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.4% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.2% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.