Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCO -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IDST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IDST +3 | 119 | Won |
| Massey | UNCO -9.0 (+12.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.9 (-26.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 13% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 16% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCO -7.6 (+10.6) | 145.4 (-26.4) | 29% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCO -7.6 (+10.6) | 147.8 (-28.8) | 22% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNCO -6.9 (+9.9) | 148.2 (-29.2) | 24% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCO -8.3 (+11.3) | 146.9 (-27.9) | 25% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | UNCO 69 – 61 IDST |
| Jan 9, 2026 | UNCO 85 – 72 IDST |
| Feb 4, 2025 | UNCO 86 – 72 IDST |
| Jan 4, 2025 | UNCO 93 – 92 IDST |
| Mar 11, 2024 | IDST 83 – 76 UNCO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IDST | UNCO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-23 | 22-16 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 13-7 |
| Home | 5-8 | 9-4 |
| Away | 2-14 | 8-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.4 | 77.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 78.0 |
| Massey | -13.6 (#347) | -1.7 (#202) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.50 (#343) | -0.07 (#182) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.44 (#324) | -0.23 (#194) |
| RPI | 0.367 (#351) | 0.529 (#123) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IDST | UNCO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.2% | 48.2% |
| 3PT% | 28.7% | 38.1% |
| REB / G | 31.2 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 6.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.69 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.5% | 57.1% |
| TOV% | 21.2% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 26.1% | 21.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.0% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 14.1% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 74.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.2% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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