Betting Lines
| Spread | LONG -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HPU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LONG +7 | 149 | Lost |
| Massey | LONG -3.2 (-3.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.6 (+10.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 31% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 36% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LONG -3.6 (-3.4) | 137.7 (+11.3) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LONG -1.4 (-5.6) | 138.2 (+10.8) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LONG -1.9 (-5.1) | 138.5 (+10.5) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LONG -1.9 (-5.1) | 139.0 (+10.0) | 40% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | HPU 71 – 59 LONG |
| Jan 3, 2026 | HPU 80 – 67 LONG |
| Feb 14, 2025 | HPU 83 – 72 LONG |
| Jan 17, 2025 | LONG 82 – 80 HPU |
| Mar 9, 2024 | LONG 80 – 79 HPU |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.