Betting Lines
| Spread | KC -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UND win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KC +15 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | KC -6.2 (-8.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.2 (+2.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KC -5.7 (-9.3) | 145.0 (+0.0) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KC -6.1 (-8.9) | 145.6 (-0.6) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KC -5.1 (-9.9) | 147.1 (-2.1) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KC -5.1 (-9.9) | 146.0 (-1.0) | 28% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | UND 85 – 70 KC |
| Jan 11, 2026 | UND 81 – 79 KC |
| Feb 8, 2025 | KC 80 – 69 UND |
| Jan 18, 2025 | UND 76 – 72 KC |
| Feb 10, 2024 | KC 65 – 47 UND |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UND | KC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-25 | 19-12 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 12-6 |
| Home | 4-11 | 11-3 |
| Away | 1-13 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L5 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.1 | 71.0 |
| Massey | -13.0 (#342) | -3.9 (#239) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.56 (#345) | -0.31 (#205) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.38 (#347) | -0.10 (#186) |
| RPI | 0.383 (#347) | 0.490 (#189) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UND | KC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.0% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 29.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 7.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.3% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 22.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.8% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.0% | 21.5% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 73.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 34.7% |
Game Analysis
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