Betting Lines
| Spread | MTSU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MTSU +6 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | MTSU -5.0 (-1.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.6 (-4.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 20% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MTSU -3.5 (-2.5) | 143.1 (-7.1) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MTSU -3.1 (-2.9) | 145.8 (-9.8) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MTSU -3.6 (-2.4) | 146.9 (-10.9) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MTSU -3.3 (-2.7) | 145.3 (-9.3) | 31% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | MTSU 73 – 67 FIU |
| Feb 5, 2026 | FIU 88 – 84 MTSU |
| Mar 8, 2025 | MTSU 78 – 56 FIU |
| Jan 3, 2025 | MTSU 73 – 69 FIU |
| Feb 10, 2024 | MTSU 68 – 66 FIU |
Game Analysis
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