Betting Lines
| Spread | LT -9.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTEP +3 | 123 | Lost |
| Massey | LT -8.8 (-11.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.2 (-17.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LT -8.9 (-11.9) | 144.2 (-21.2) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LT -9.1 (-12.1) | 144.1 (-21.1) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LT -9.2 (-12.2) | 145.0 (-22.0) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LT -9.4 (-12.4) | 146.1 (-23.1) | 75% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | LT 69 – 59 UTEP |
| Dec 30, 2025 | LT 75 – 63 UTEP |
| Mar 8, 2025 | LT 76 – 58 UTEP |
| Jan 3, 2025 | UTEP 70 – 60 LT |
| Feb 23, 2024 | LT 65 – 59 UTEP |
Game Analysis
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