Betting Lines
| Spread | MRSH -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRSH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRSH +4 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | MRSH -0.6 (+3.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.7 (-14.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRSH -0.8 (+3.2) | 143.4 (-13.4) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRSH -1.1 (+2.9) | 146.3 (-16.3) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRSH -1.0 (+3.0) | 146.5 (-16.5) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRSH -0.5 (+3.5) | 145.3 (-15.3) | 49% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | MRSH 97 – 88 ODU |
| Feb 12, 2026 | MRSH 81 – 79 ODU |
| Feb 26, 2025 | MRSH 83 – 66 ODU |
| Feb 20, 2025 | MRSH 81 – 77 ODU |
| Feb 2, 2024 | ODU 83 – 76 MRSH |
Game Analysis
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