Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -23.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARIZ +14 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | ARIZ -29.0 (-15.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.5 (-0.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARIZ -19.6 (-5.6) | 155.7 (-3.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARIZ -22.0 (-8.0) | 155.7 (-3.7) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -26.9 (-12.9) | 157.7 (-5.7) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARIZ -24.7 (-10.7) | 155.9 (-3.9) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 26, 2024 | ORST 83 – 80 ARIZ |
| Feb 5, 2023 | ARIZ 84 – 52 ORST |
| Jan 13, 2023 | ARIZ 86 – 74 ORST |
| Dec 5, 2021 | ARIZ 90 – 65 ORST |
| Feb 12, 2021 | ARIZ 70 – 61 ORST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARIZ | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 33-4 | 3-28 |
| Conference | 18-2 | 1-19 |
| Home | 17-0 | 3-13 |
| Away | 9-3 | 0-12 |
| Neutral | 7-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L18 |
| Avg Pts For | 84.0 | 68.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 78.1 |
| Massey | 22.9 (#2) | -3.3 (#227) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.90 (#1) | -1.52 (#296) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.67 (#3) | -1.26 (#262) |
| RPI | 0.648 (#3) | 0.440 (#287) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARIZ | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.8% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 43.6 | 30.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.47 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.0% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 36.6% | 26.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 18.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.3% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 66.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.9% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
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