Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -13.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | ORST +550 ARIZ -800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARIZ +25 | 155 | Lost |
| Massey | ARIZ -21.1 (-3.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.5 (+10.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 0% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARIZ -13.9 (-11.1) | 148.1 (+6.9) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARIZ -13.8 (-11.2) | 146.9 (+8.1) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -16.3 (-8.7) | 146.7 (+8.3) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARIZ -17.3 (-7.7) | 149.8 (+5.2) | 16% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 26, 2024 | ORST 83 – 80 ARIZ |
| Feb 5, 2023 | ARIZ 84 – 52 ORST |
| Jan 13, 2023 | ARIZ 86 – 74 ORST |
| Feb 18, 2022 | ARIZ 83 – 69 ORST |
| Feb 12, 2021 | ARIZ 70 – 61 ORST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORST | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 3-28 | 33-4 |
| Conference | 1-19 | 18-2 |
| Home | 3-13 | 17-0 |
| Away | 0-12 | 9-3 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 7-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L18 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.3 | 84.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.1 | 68.1 |
| Massey | -2.9 (#229) | 23.9 (#1) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.14 (#326) | 3.82 (#5) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.83 (#316) | 5.88 (#5) |
| RPI | 0.433 (#276) | 0.667 (#12) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORST | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 49.5% |
| 3PT% | 28.5% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 46.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.2% | 56.0% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 23.6% | 36.5% |
| FT Rate | 19.2% | 30.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 37.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 21.5% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 74.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 17.2% |
Game Analysis
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