We're only making plans for Nigel. "Making Plans for Nigel" - XTC
Big West Conference · Premier America Credit Union Arena · February 18, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread LBSU -6.5 Away covered
O/U 138.5 Under
Model Predictions
Spread Total CSUN win
Actual LBSU +13 131 Lost
Massey LBSU -6.3 (-6.7) — —
Massey Totals — 142.9 (-11.9) —
Bradley-Terry — — 19% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 13% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ LBSU -5.5 (-7.5) 143.0 (-12.0) 23% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML LBSU -5.6 (-7.4) 144.1 (-13.1) 25% ✓
Baseline ML LBSU -5.2 (-7.8) 145.8 (-14.8) 28% ✓
Baseline Plus ML LBSU -4.6 (-8.4) 144.2 (-13.2) 22% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 22, 2026 CSUN 78 – 76 LBSU
Jan 18, 2026 LBSU 87 – 80 CSUN
Feb 9, 2025 CSUN 81 – 80 LBSU
Jan 24, 2025 CSUN 86 – 76 LBSU
Feb 18, 2024 LBSU 87 – 73 CSUN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CSUN LBSU
Overall 7-23 20-13
Conference 3-13 12-3
Home 4-11 11-3
Away 3-11 6-7
Neutral 0-1 3-3
Last 5 2-3 5-0
Streak L7 L2
Avg Pts For 60.6 72.4
Avg Pts Against 71.2 73.4
Massey -9.2 (#312) -0.0 (#164)
Bradley-Terry -1.35 (#285) 0.61 (#123)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.66 (#285) 0.78 (#119)
RPI 0.450 (#258) 0.537 (#110)
Shooting & Four Factors CSUN LBSU
FG% 39.8% 42.6%
3PT% 30.3% 34.3%
REB / G 32.0 35.7
OREB / G 10.0 10.0
AST / TO 0.73 0.85
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 44.2% 47.6%
TOV% 18.1% 18.3%
ORB% 27.0% 27.8%
FT Rate 20.4% 29.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.9% 50.3%
Opp TOV% 20.1% 19.0%
DRB% 67.3% 71.9%
Opp FT Rate 26.6% 21.7%

Game Analysis

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