Betting Lines
| Spread | IOWA -5.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IOWA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MICH +5 | 163 | Lost |
| Massey | IOWA -6.6 (-11.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.6 (+9.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IOWA -6.4 (-11.4) | 153.1 (+9.9) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IOWA -6.2 (-11.2) | 153.4 (+9.6) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | IOWA -6.1 (-11.1) | 155.0 (+8.0) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IOWA -6.3 (-11.3) | 153.3 (+9.7) | 73% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | MICH 71 – 68 IOWA |
| Dec 7, 2024 | MICH 85 – 83 IOWA |
| Jan 27, 2024 | IOWA 88 – 78 MICH |
| Dec 10, 2023 | MICH 90 – 80 IOWA |
| Jan 13, 2023 | IOWA 93 – 84 MICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IOWA | MICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-10 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 11-9 |
| Home | 15-3 | 10-5 |
| Away | 6-6 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.2 | 72.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 69.4 |
| Massey | 15.2 (#18) | 11.5 (#33) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.08 (#37) | 1.76 (#56) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.66 (#34) | 2.28 (#48) |
| RPI | 0.573 (#57) | 0.579 (#52) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IOWA | MICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.86 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 12.3% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 31.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 76.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.3% | 19.0% |
Game Analysis
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