Betting Lines
| Spread | COFC -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COFC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JMU +8 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | COFC -6.2 (-14.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.0 (-26.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COFC -4.3 (-12.3) | 149.2 (-15.2) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COFC -5.8 (-13.8) | 154.3 (-20.3) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | COFC -5.7 (-13.7) | 154.5 (-20.5) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COFC -5.0 (-13.0) | 154.2 (-20.2) | 72% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 22, 2022 | JMU 95 – 94 COFC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COFC | JMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 15-14 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 6-12 |
| Home | 9-6 | 9-6 |
| Away | 7-8 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.2 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.4 | 75.1 |
| Massey | 0.3 (#157) | -3.0 (#225) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.32 (#149) | -0.10 (#186) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.24 (#157) | -0.45 (#207) |
| RPI | 0.515 (#146) | 0.495 (#183) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COFC | JMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 40.9 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 14.0 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 35.1% | 25.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.3% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 21.0% |
| DRB% | 76.4% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.4% | 20.4% |
Game Analysis
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