Betting Lines
| Spread | DEP -2.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CREI +12 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | DEP -1.5 (-13.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.1 (-9.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DEP -0.3 (-12.3) | 138.0 (-8.0) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DEP -1.6 (-13.6) | 139.1 (-9.1) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DEP -1.2 (-13.2) | 138.7 (-8.7) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DEP -1.7 (-13.7) | 138.5 (-8.5) | 59% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | DEP 72 – 71 CREI |
| Feb 12, 2026 | DEP 72 – 71 CREI |
| Mar 13, 2025 | CREI 85 – 81 DEP |
| Feb 27, 2025 | CREI 75 – 65 DEP |
| Jan 22, 2025 | CREI 73 – 49 DEP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEP | CREI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 12-7 |
| Home | 11-7 | 11-4 |
| Away | 4-9 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 69.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 66.4 |
| Massey | 6.2 (#91) | 7.5 (#76) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.15 (#91) | 2.08 (#38) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.55 (#86) | 2.65 (#35) |
| RPI | 0.512 (#158) | 0.563 (#64) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEP | CREI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 38.6 | 38.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 32.4% | 29.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 44.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 15.6% |
Game Analysis
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