Taking a bite on a biscuit, the record jumps on a scratch. "If I Didn't Love You" - Squeeze
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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50–16 on winners spread MAE 9.1 66 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Buffalo @ James Madison +23.9 159.2 91% 66–81 ✓
Drexel @ Lafayette -1.0 123.2 41% 69–48 ✓
South Carolina Upstate @ Coastal Carolina +1.8 139.5 52% 70–72 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ Tulane +6.4 147.9 73% 77–98 ✓
Morgan State @ High Point +15.6 157.5 89% 59–77 ✓
Dartmouth @ Vermont +15.0 133.1 89% 53–64 ✓
UC Irvine @ Duquesne +4.6 146.4 63% 62–66 ✓
Marist @ Iona +1.3 138.5 57% 68–64 ✗
Florida Gulf Coast @ Florida International +5.7 142.7 66% 68–65 ✗
La Salle @ Temple +6.1 149.4 70% 99–106 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ Columbia +8.7 140.5 80% 57–69 ✓
Saint Francis @ Lehigh +12.2 137.9 85% 62–61 ✗
NJIT @ George Mason +20.3 136.9 91% 68–86 ✓
Robert Morris @ Northern Kentucky +3.7 143.6 68% 59–77 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ Wright State +14.2 149.6 88% 74–103 ✓
Green Bay @ Purdue Fort Wayne +10.4 141.4 87% 71–75 ✓
Oakland @ Detroit Mercy -9.9 144.1 20% 65–50 ✓
Stony Brook @ Yale +11.0 143.2 85% 71–79 ✓
Princeton @ Bucknell -10.2 131.6 17% 85–71 ✓
Monmouth @ Cornell +11.4 154.1 85% 87–91 ✓
Gardner-Webb @ Queens University +2.1 138.0 55% 80–83 ✓
Boston University @ UAlbany +8.2 139.5 79% 72–86 ✓
Radford @ Old Dominion +2.6 139.8 59% 68–69 ✓
American University @ Harvard +15.9 148.5 87% 75–80 ✓
Central Michigan @ Ohio State +22.0 142.4 91% 61–88 ✓
Maine @ Holy Cross -5.3 137.0 29% 72–57 ✓
VMI @ Navy +0.7 133.7 48% 47–67 ✓
Tennessee @ North Carolina +5.0 140.9 69% 92–100 ✓
Texas A&M @ Virginia +1.2 129.5 48% 47–59 ✓
Florida @ Wake Forest -1.6 156.2 41% 71–82 ✗
Richmond @ Wichita State +4.1 141.5 69% 68–80 ✓
Tarleton State @ Stephen F. Austin +7.2 140.9 79% 68–66 ✗
Grand Canyon @ UT Rio Grande Valley -12.1 145.7 17% 79–69 ✓
Evansville @ Missouri State +2.4 141.2 60% 78–90 ✓
Drake @ Valparaiso -5.2 142.5 32% 83–65 ✓
Belmont @ Northern Iowa +4.9 155.9 73% 90–70 ✗
Bradley @ Murray State -6.8 146.0 26% 72–79 ✗
Bellarmine @ Louisville +2.1 140.6 57% 68–73 ✓
Morehead State @ Austin Peay +2.9 133.0 59% 61–50 ✗
Davidson @ Charlotte +8.1 129.8 76% 85–81 ✗
Tennessee State @ Alabama A&M -6.9 146.6 26% 83–85 ✗
Dayton @ SMU +4.3 137.3 63% 65–63 ✗
Abilene Christian @ UT Arlington +1.1 143.5 57% 71–86 ✓
Seattle U @ Utah Valley +1.1 132.4 61% 72–78 ✓
Merrimack @ Georgetown +3.6 142.8 65% 67–69 ✓
Binghamton @ Colgate +3.8 135.7 63% 49–84 ✓
California Baptist @ Southern Utah +5.5 139.8 74% 91–66 ✗
Colorado @ Colorado State +14.1 150.8 87% 83–88 ✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ UTEP +9.5 138.1 79% 67–63 ✗
Louisiana Tech @ New Mexico +5.0 142.3 64% 65–74 ✓
Sam Houston @ Arizona State +6.1 141.5 73% 61–78 ✓
North Florida @ Iowa +18.2 153.0 90% 78–103 ✓
Denver @ Idaho -2.8 155.4 37% 67–65 ✓
Duke @ Arkansas -2.4 151.1 38% 75–80 ✗
Boston College @ Vanderbilt -3.4 144.6 37% 80–62 ✓
Georgia @ Florida State +13.0 145.4 87% 68–66 ✗
Virginia Tech @ Auburn +8.3 146.4 77% 57–74 ✓
San José State @ Cal Poly -4.8 132.1 34% 77–81 ✗
Northern Colorado @ San Diego +10.4 141.5 82% 72–74 ✓
Montana @ Nevada +20.3 145.6 91% 66–77 ✓
Northern Arizona @ UC Santa Barbara +6.0 145.2 71% 59–70 ✓
Cal State Northridge @ Pacific -0.7 140.8 44% 80–69 ✓
Central Arkansas @ Loyola Marymount +16.2 141.6 89% 63–90 ✓
Eastern Washington @ USC +15.3 148.0 88% 78–106 ✓
Liberty @ Florida Atlantic +7.6 148.6 70% 58–83 ✓
Texas Tech @ Butler +10.7 137.7 81% 95–103 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.