We live on blood / We are Sparta F.C "Theme from Sparta FC" - The Fall
Western Athletic Conference · America First Events Center · November 30, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread SUU -1.5 Away covered
O/U 142.5 Over
Money SUU -110 / CBU +120
Model Predictions
Spread Total SUU win
Actual CBU +25 157 Lost
Massey SUU -12.5 (-37.5) — —
Massey Totals — 143.7 (+13.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 78% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 92% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ SUU -6.8 (-31.8) 137.5 (+19.5) 70% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML SUU -5.5 (-30.5) 139.8 (+17.2) 74% ✗
Baseline ML SUU -5.8 (-30.8) 139.5 (+17.5) 67% ✗
Baseline Plus ML SUU -5.9 (-30.9) 138.3 (+18.7) 69% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 8, 2026 CBU 82 – 75 SUU
Feb 13, 2026 CBU 83 – 66 SUU
Jan 11, 2026 CBU 58 – 55 SUU
Feb 7, 2025 SUU 60 – 57 CBU
Jan 26, 2025 CBU 76 – 60 SUU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SUU CBU
Overall 10-21 16-17
Conference 5-15 8-12
Home 6-8 11-7
Away 3-13 4-9
Neutral 1-0 1-1
Last 5 1-3 3-1
Streak W1 L1
Avg Pts For 73.2 67.1
Avg Pts Against 77.8 67.1
Massey 3.5 (#115) -2.5 (#223)
Bradley-Terry 0.35 (#152) 0.32 (#156)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.04 (#126) -0.04 (#187)
RPI 0.496 (#179) 0.492 (#191)
Shooting & Four Factors SUU CBU
FG% 40.3% 41.6%
3PT% 32.7% 35.4%
REB / G 34.0 39.0
OREB / G 12.8 13.0
AST / TO 0.95 1.15
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 46.9% 47.9%
TOV% 14.8% 16.2%
ORB% 31.9% 35.1%
FT Rate 22.6% 30.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.2% 45.6%
Opp TOV% 17.9% 14.5%
DRB% 62.5% 71.7%
Opp FT Rate 26.6% 19.3%

Game Analysis

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