Betting Lines
| Spread | DEN -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | IDHO +188 DEN -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IDHO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DEN +2 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | DEN -4.0 (+2.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.9 (-31.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 38% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 27% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DEN -6.4 (+4.4) | 148.1 (-16.1) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DEN -2.8 (+0.8) | 155.4 (-23.4) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DEN -4.4 (+2.4) | 153.2 (-21.2) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DEN -3.9 (+1.9) | 151.6 (-19.6) | 35% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 8, 2022 | DEN 68 – 63 IDHO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IDHO | DEN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 17-17 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 6-10 |
| Home | 6-10 | 10-4 |
| Away | 4-10 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.2 | 79.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.8 | 82.1 |
| Massey | -9.5 (#328) | 0.9 (#148) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.20 (#267) | 0.54 (#140) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.70 (#266) | 0.71 (#142) |
| RPI | 0.484 (#200) | 0.453 (#239) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IDHO | DEN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 27.2% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 28.5 | 41.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 14.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 1.31 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 12.9% |
| ORB% | 21.7% | 36.6% |
| FT Rate | 16.4% | 34.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.6% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 12.7% |
| DRB% | 64.1% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.6% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
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