Bitch, I'm me! "Stand Up" - Ludacris
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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33–6 on winners spread MAE 13.1 39 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Mississippi State @ Georgia Tech -6.8 136.7 22% 59–67 ✗
Cincinnati @ Howard -4.4 147.6 28% 86–81 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Indiana State +4.1 148.5 72% 48–77 ✓
South Carolina State @ Furman +13.2 160.2 87% 78–86 ✓
Charleston Southern @ The Citadel +12.4 131.6 85% 52–81 ✓
William & Mary @ Norfolk State +1.0 146.8 50% 62–96 ✓
Western Carolina @ Tennessee Tech -6.6 141.3 21% 69–65 ✓
Wagner @ Providence +12.3 130.2 85% 52–86 ✓
Rider @ Maryland +8.1 128.0 76% 76–103 ✓
Notre Dame @ South Carolina +13.6 135.6 87% 53–65 ✓
LSU @ Syracuse +2.7 146.5 60% 57–80 ✓
Miami @ Kentucky +8.1 162.3 72% 73–95 ✓
Ball State @ Little Rock +3.6 148.8 65% 64–90 ✓
Northwestern State @ UL Monroe +7.0 141.6 73% 70–74 ✓
Missouri @ Pittsburgh +17.5 141.7 89% 71–64 ✗
Eastern Illinois @ Kansas +23.9 141.9 91% 63–71 ✓
Nicholls @ Baylor +14.8 156.0 88% 70–108 ✓
Chicago State @ Loyola Chicago +12.2 141.2 86% 53–62 ✓
Utah State @ Saint Louis -5.8 144.2 27% 81–76 ✓
Oral Roberts @ Kansas State +13.0 148.5 85% 78–88 ✓
McNeese @ UAB -0.3 139.9 44% 81–60 ✓
Texas Southern @ Purdue +24.2 136.9 91% 67–99 ✓
Jackson State @ Arkansas State +5.9 153.1 71% 75–71 ✗
Southern @ Marquette +23.4 155.9 91% 56–93 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ Gonzaga +18.5 136.0 90% 65–81 ✓
NC State @ Ole Miss +0.8 143.6 51% 52–72 ✓
Clemson @ Alabama +13.4 158.8 83% 85–77 ✗
Akron @ UNLV +3.3 140.5 59% 70–72 ✓
Portland @ Portland State +12.8 146.1 88% 74–75 ✓
UC San Diego @ Washington +5.5 150.5 73% 56–83 ✓
Idaho State @ Pepperdine +2.8 138.0 58% 62–77 ✓
Chattanooga @ Lipscomb +6.9 145.8 73% 68–82 ✓
Central Connecticut @ Army +2.3 126.5 56% 79–51 ✗
UMass Lowell @ Stonehill -9.5 145.6 18% 80–74 ✓
Campbell @ Jacksonville +6.6 135.4 71% 48–62 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ Villanova +11.4 141.5 83% 78–65 ✗
Cleveland State @ Youngstown State +0.2 139.8 52% 69–94 ✓
Northeastern @ Seton Hall +13.5 143.4 86% 75–88 ✓
East Tennessee State @ App State +12.9 141.5 86% 61–72 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.