Betting Lines
| Spread | SYR -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.0 Under |
| Money | SYR -120 LSU +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SYR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SYR +23 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | SYR -0.8 (+22.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.6 (-16.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SYR -1.5 (+21.5) | 147.3 (-10.3) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SYR -2.7 (+20.3) | 146.5 (-9.5) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SYR -1.8 (+21.2) | 148.1 (-11.1) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SYR -2.0 (+21.0) | 148.9 (-11.9) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SYR | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 9-9 |
| Home | 14-2 | 12-6 |
| Away | 4-7 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.4 | 76.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.3 | 75.0 |
| Massey | -0.7 (#173) | 4.9 (#101) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.93 (#108) | -0.04 (#185) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.43 (#102) | 0.23 (#169) |
| RPI | 0.570 (#83) | 0.511 (#153) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SYR | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 47.4% |
| 3PT% | 25.9% | 36.8% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.1% | 53.3% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 25.6% | 32.3% |
| FT Rate | 20.4% | 33.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.0% | 23.5% |
| DRB% | 64.3% | 67.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.7% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
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