Betting Lines
| Spread | KSU -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
| Money | KSU -1400 ORU +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KSU +10 | 166 | Won |
| Massey | KSU -12.7 (-2.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.6 (+10.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KSU -10.1 (-0.1) | 151.5 (+14.5) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KSU -13.0 (-3.0) | 148.5 (+17.5) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KSU -12.5 (-2.5) | 150.2 (+15.8) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KSU -12.4 (-2.4) | 150.1 (+15.9) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KSU | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 5-11 |
| Home | 14-3 | 9-5 |
| Away | 2-9 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.2 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.1 | 77.0 |
| Massey | 6.0 (#83) | -0.4 (#168) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.84 (#113) | -1.33 (#277) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.21 (#117) | -2.39 (#296) |
| RPI | 0.530 (#136) | 0.432 (#269) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KSU | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 39.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 42.8 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 16.3 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 1.29 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 46.7% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 11.4% |
| ORB% | 41.4% | 20.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.6% | 18.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 44.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 13.0% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 62.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.5% | 22.5% |
Game Analysis
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