Betting Lines
| Spread | MISS -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.0 Under |
| Money | MISS -130 NCSU +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MISS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MISS +20 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | NCSU -4.6 (+24.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.0 (-21.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MISS -0.8 (+19.2) | 143.4 (-19.4) | 46% ✗ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | NCSU -1.0 (+21.0) | 140.7 (-16.7) | 37% ✗ |
| Model 3 ML | MISS -0.8 (+19.2) | 143.6 (-19.6) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NCSU -0.3 (+20.3) | 143.5 (-19.5) | 50% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 21, 2025 | NCSU 76 – 62 MISS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MISS | NCSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 26-15 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 9-11 |
| Home | 14-4 | 12-5 |
| Away | 4-7 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 10-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 75.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.9 | 71.8 |
| Massey | -3.0 (#230) | 7.9 (#56) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.65 (#26) | 1.47 (#73) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.85 (#49) | 2.23 (#74) |
| RPI | 0.569 (#85) | 0.568 (#86) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MISS | NCSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.68 | 1.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 12.2% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 23.0% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 27.4% |
Game Analysis
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