Betting Lines
| Spread | NCSU -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | NCSU -305 MISS +245 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NCSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NCSU +14 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | NCSU -9.7 (+4.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.9 (-17.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NCSU -8.3 (+5.7) | 145.8 (-7.8) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NCSU -5.5 (+8.5) | 145.0 (-7.0) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NCSU -7.8 (+6.2) | 145.9 (-7.9) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NCSU -8.2 (+5.8) | 146.5 (-8.5) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 29, 2023 | MISS 72 – 52 NCSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NCSU | MISS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-14 | 15-20 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 4-14 |
| Home | 11-6 | 7-9 |
| Away | 6-4 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 5-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.2 | 75.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.3 | 76.1 |
| Massey | 16.3 (#26) | 6.7 (#89) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.68 (#61) | 0.71 (#124) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.08 (#46) | 1.33 (#104) |
| RPI | 0.548 (#96) | 0.518 (#143) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NCSU | MISS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.0% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 38.9% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.78 | 1.41 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.8% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 13.4% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 27.8% | 29.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.9% | 25.4% |
Game Analysis
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