Betting Lines
| Spread | MARQ -32.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | MARQ -20000 SOU +3300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MARQ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MARQ +37 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | MARQ -29.7 (+7.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.1 (-11.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MARQ -25.2 (+11.8) | 156.7 (-7.7) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MARQ -23.4 (+13.6) | 155.9 (-6.9) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MARQ -26.7 (+10.3) | 153.0 (-4.0) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MARQ -26.2 (+10.8) | 153.1 (-4.1) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 6, 2025 | MARQ 100 – 82 SOU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MARQ | SOU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-10 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 12-6 |
| Home | 14-2 | 11-2 |
| Away | 7-5 | 7-11 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.1 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.8 | 70.6 |
| Massey | 17.2 (#7) | -6.2 (#282) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.68 (#7) | -0.50 (#226) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 6.07 (#5) | -0.80 (#227) |
| RPI | 0.730 (#5) | 0.496 (#177) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MARQ | SOU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.9% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 27.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.69 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.6% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 12.9% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 26.4% | 21.0% |
| FT Rate | 18.5% | 15.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 59.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.7% | 23.1% |
| DRB% | 67.3% | 61.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.2% | 30.6% |
Game Analysis
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