Betting Lines
| Spread | MARQ -24.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
| Money | MARQ -10000 SOU +2500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MARQ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MARQ +18 | 182 | Won |
| Massey | MARQ -26.3 (-8.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.3 (+24.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MARQ -15.9 (+2.1) | 146.5 (+35.5) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MARQ -18.5 (-0.5) | 148.7 (+33.3) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 29, 2023 | MARQ 93 – 56 SOU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MARQ | SOU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 17-17 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 11-7 |
| Home | 10-7 | 8-4 |
| Away | 2-10 | 7-12 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 76.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.8 | 80.2 |
| Massey | 2.4 (#89) | -4.0 (#204) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.25 (#62) | -0.25 (#214) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.36 (#63) | -0.37 (#212) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MARQ | SOU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 39.1% |
| 3PT% | 20.8% | 44.4% |
| REB / G | 45.0 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 15.0 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.7% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 14.9% |
| ORB% | 38.5% | 27.9% |
| FT Rate | 46.6% | 15.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 32.1% | 57.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 29.6% | 11.0% |
| DRB% | 61.2% | 64.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.9% | 34.2% |
Game Analysis
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