Betting Lines
| Spread | PRST -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | PRST -135 PORT +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRST +1 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | PRST -16.1 (-15.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.8 (-1.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRST -10.4 (-9.4) | 144.5 (+4.5) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRST -12.8 (-11.8) | 146.1 (+2.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PRST -13.3 (-12.3) | 145.5 (+3.5) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRST -13.0 (-12.0) | 144.9 (+4.1) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 12, 2022 | PORT 98 – 91 PRST |
| Nov 24, 2021 | PORT 69 – 54 PRST |
| Dec 6, 2020 | PORT 86 – 73 PRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRST | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 5-11 |
| Home | 11-2 | 9-6 |
| Away | 5-11 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.5 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 79.5 |
| Massey | 6.1 (#82) | -3.7 (#244) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.16 (#42) | -0.60 (#235) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.89 (#83) | -0.55 (#215) |
| RPI | 0.618 (#48) | 0.482 (#195) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRST | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 27.9% | 26.3% |
| FT Rate | 25.4% | 36.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 75.3% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.7% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
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