Betting Lines
| Spread | PRST -6.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PORT +15 | 123 | Lost |
| Massey | PRST -8.3 (-23.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.0 (-13.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRST -2.1 (-17.1) | 138.4 (-15.4) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PRST -1.3 (-16.3) | 137.4 (-14.4) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PORT -1.6 (-13.4) | 138.4 (-15.4) | 59% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 29, 2023 | PRST 75 – 74 PORT |
| Nov 12, 2022 | PORT 98 – 91 PRST |
| Dec 6, 2020 | PORT 86 – 73 PRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRST | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-17 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 7-7 |
| Home | 7-7 | 11-4 |
| Away | 5-9 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 3-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 72.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.6 | 73.0 |
| Massey | -2.2 (#216) | -3.2 (#234) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.75 (#308) | -0.23 (#195) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.27 (#291) | -0.34 (#194) |
| RPI | 0.135 (#359) | 0.414 (#282) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRST | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.3% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 27.0% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.41 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.2% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 22.8% | 24.4% |
| ORB% | 26.2% | 24.0% |
| FT Rate | 18.3% | 30.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.8% | 45.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 21.7% |
| DRB% | 65.9% | 68.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 17.0% |
Game Analysis
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