Betting Lines
| Spread | YSU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | YSU -110 CLE +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YSU +25 | 163 | Won |
| Massey | YSU -1.2 (+23.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.9 (+26.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YSU -0.7 (+24.3) | 143.1 (+19.9) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YSU -0.2 (+24.8) | 139.8 (+23.2) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLE -0.0 (+25.0) | 140.9 (+22.1) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLE -0.8 (+25.8) | 141.7 (+21.3) | 50% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2026 | YSU 106 – 82 CLE |
| Jan 17, 2026 | CLE 80 – 78 YSU |
| Mar 11, 2025 | YSU 56 – 54 CLE |
| Feb 16, 2025 | YSU 68 – 60 CLE |
| Jan 11, 2025 | CLE 80 – 72 YSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YSU | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-10 | 21-15 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 11-9 |
| Home | 14-3 | 14-3 |
| Away | 8-7 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.4 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 73.7 |
| Massey | -3.9 (#246) | 1.3 (#144) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.12 (#173) | 0.82 (#115) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.28 (#166) | 1.26 (#115) |
| RPI | 0.457 (#234) | 0.537 (#129) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YSU | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.9% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 29.3% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 38.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 14.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.6% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 25.9% | 37.1% |
| FT Rate | 17.1% | 25.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 47.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.0% | 20.8% |
| DRB% | 74.0% | 62.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 23.5% |
Game Analysis
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