Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -37.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KU +8 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | KU -34.5 (-26.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.4 (-9.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KU -25.1 (-17.1) | 142.5 (-8.5) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KU -23.9 (-15.9) | 141.9 (-7.9) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KU -27.5 (-19.5) | 142.5 (-8.5) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KU -25.6 (-17.6) | 142.7 (-8.7) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KU | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 8-10 |
| Home | 15-1 | 9-6 |
| Away | 3-7 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.3 | 65.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.3 | 70.4 |
| Massey | 17.1 (#8) | -11.1 (#334) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.84 (#21) | -1.99 (#316) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.77 (#15) | -3.42 (#327) |
| RPI | 0.679 (#16) | 0.355 (#336) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KU | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 53.5% | 35.4% |
| 3PT% | 40.6% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 41.2 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 7.6 | 14.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.63 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 60.2% | 39.3% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 25.5% | 32.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 15.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 41.5% | 57.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.3% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 74.7% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.4% | 34.9% |
Game Analysis
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