Betting Lines
| Spread | HALL -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.0 Over |
| Money | HALL -1600 NE +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HALL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HALL +13 | 163 | Won |
| Massey | HALL -14.0 (-1.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.8 (+20.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HALL -14.5 (-1.5) | 139.9 (+23.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HALL -13.5 (-0.5) | 143.4 (+19.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HALL -13.5 (-0.5) | 144.4 (+18.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HALL -14.3 (-1.3) | 141.4 (+21.6) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HALL | NE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-12 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 7-11 |
| Home | 17-4 | 7-5 |
| Away | 5-6 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W5 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 72.3 |
| Massey | 6.9 (#68) | -0.8 (#176) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.24 (#161) | -0.54 (#233) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.56 (#152) | -0.52 (#211) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#171) | 0.492 (#181) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HALL | NE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 48.1% |
| 3PT% | 29.2% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 40.2 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 13.2 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 54.4% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 36.4% | 34.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 28.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.7% | 53.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 75.7% | 66.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 17.5% |
Game Analysis
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