Betting Lines
| Spread | CIN -12.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.0 Over |
| Money | HOW +700 CIN -1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CIN +5 | 167 | Lost |
| Massey | CIN -6.8 (+1.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.8 (+10.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 18% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CIN -6.8 (+1.8) | 151.6 (+15.4) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CIN -4.8 (-0.2) | 149.7 (+17.3) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CIN -4.4 (-0.6) | 147.6 (+19.4) | 28% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CIN -7.4 (+2.4) | 149.4 (+17.6) | 21% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 8, 2024 | CIN 84 – 67 HOW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOW | CIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-17 | 22-15 |
| Conference | 9-5 | 7-11 |
| Home | 9-4 | 16-5 |
| Away | 6-9 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.1 | 68.2 |
| Massey | -1.3 (#198) | 11.8 (#32) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.43 (#218) | 2.34 (#35) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.30 (#197) | 4.47 (#22) |
| RPI | 0.465 (#222) | 0.600 (#57) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOW | CIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 37.3% |
| REB / G | 38.6 | 41.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.67 | 2.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 55.0% |
| TOV% | 22.0% | 12.1% |
| ORB% | 31.4% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 32.6% | 19.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 44.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 81.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 19.2% |
Game Analysis
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