Betting Lines
| Spread | CIN -27.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CIN +17 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | CIN -27.2 (-10.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.7 (+10.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CIN -27.2 (-10.2) | 138.8 (+12.2) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CIN -26.5 (-9.5) | 142.0 (+9.0) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CIN -23.5 (-6.5) | 140.8 (+10.2) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CIN -25.7 (-8.7) | 141.9 (+9.1) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 29, 2023 | CIN 86 – 81 HOW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CIN | HOW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-16 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 7-7 |
| Home | 12-5 | 8-6 |
| Away | 4-9 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 75.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.2 | 80.7 |
| Massey | 16.2 (#17) | -6.5 (#288) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.99 (#95) | -1.52 (#298) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.91 (#118) | -2.15 (#297) |
| RPI | 0.531 (#123) | 0.442 (#274) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CIN | HOW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.5% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 39.9% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 38.9 | 31.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.97 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.2% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 13.6% | 21.4% |
| ORB% | 36.2% | 27.3% |
| FT Rate | 12.6% | 20.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 40.6% | 57.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.6% | 29.8% |
Game Analysis
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