Betting Lines
| Spread | OSU -23.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | OSU -10000 CMU +2000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OSU +27 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | OSU -26.8 (+0.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.1 (+7.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OSU -23.5 (+3.5) | 139.0 (+10.0) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OSU -22.0 (+5.0) | 142.4 (+6.6) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OSU -23.4 (+3.6) | 141.6 (+7.4) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OSU -24.2 (+2.8) | 137.8 (+11.2) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OSU | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-14 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 12-6 |
| Home | 15-5 | 10-3 |
| Away | 2-8 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.5 | 65.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.2 | 70.2 |
| Massey | 13.3 (#21) | -7.0 (#295) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.30 (#36) | -0.67 (#240) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.44 (#41) | -1.06 (#244) |
| RPI | 0.666 (#17) | 0.493 (#187) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OSU | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.6% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 40.6% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.43 | 0.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.0% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 22.5% |
| ORB% | 34.0% | 30.6% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 18.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 55.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 20.6% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.6% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
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