Betting Lines
| Spread | NAVY -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | NAVY -175 VMI +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NAVY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NAVY +20 | 114 | Won |
| Massey | NAVY -1.4 (+18.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.6 (-25.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NAVY -3.5 (+16.5) | 132.5 (-18.5) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NAVY -0.7 (+19.3) | 133.7 (-19.7) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NAVY -1.2 (+18.8) | 133.0 (-19.0) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NAVY -2.1 (+17.9) | 134.0 (-20.0) | 55% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2022 | VMI 80 – 72 NAVY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NAVY | VMI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 4-28 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 1-17 |
| Home | 10-5 | 4-10 |
| Away | 3-13 | 0-15 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L13 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.6 | 66.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.8 | 84.9 |
| Massey | -8.9 (#323) | -3.8 (#242) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.20 (#348) | -2.85 (#340) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.87 (#347) | -4.20 (#340) |
| RPI | 0.309 (#354) | 0.393 (#310) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NAVY | VMI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 35.7% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 24.4% | 29.1% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 39.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 0.60 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 40.2% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 19.6% | 15.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 13.9% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.0% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.