Betting Lines
| Spread | COLU -6.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.0 Under |
| Money | COLU -267 L-MD +215 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLU +12 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | COLU -11.8 (+0.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.8 (-12.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLU -10.3 (+1.7) | 142.3 (-16.3) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLU -9.5 (+2.5) | 141.5 (-15.5) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLU -8.7 (+3.3) | 140.5 (-14.5) | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLU -6.7 (+5.3) | 142.4 (-16.4) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 5, 2024 | COLU 81 – 78 L-MD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLU | L-MD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-14 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 4-10 | 5-13 |
| Home | 9-6 | 2-11 |
| Away | 4-8 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.6 | 63.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.3 | 72.4 |
| Massey | 0.6 (#154) | -4.8 (#258) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.30 (#160) | -1.69 (#299) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.45 (#164) | -2.85 (#313) |
| RPI | 0.523 (#141) | 0.393 (#309) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLU | L-MD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 26.3% | 27.0% |
| FT Rate | 28.4% | 16.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 67.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
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