Betting Lines
| Spread | HARV -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | HARV -333 AMER +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HARV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HARV +5 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | HARV -20.9 (-15.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.2 (+5.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HARV -16.5 (-11.5) | 146.6 (+8.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HARV -16.9 (-11.9) | 148.0 (+7.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HARV -15.9 (-10.9) | 148.5 (+6.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HARV -13.3 (-8.3) | 147.9 (+7.1) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 10, 2024 | AMER 67 – 55 HARV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HARV | AMER |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-13 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 5-9 | 10-8 |
| Home | 9-5 | 8-7 |
| Away | 5-7 | 8-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 67.8 |
| Massey | 6.8 (#72) | -7.7 (#310) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.87 (#53) | -1.53 (#293) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.34 (#66) | -2.48 (#299) |
| RPI | 0.615 (#47) | 0.412 (#293) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HARV | AMER |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 39.7% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.28 | 1.29 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.6% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 31.8% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 19.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.5% | 55.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.9% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 64.6% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.9% | 25.8% |
Game Analysis
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