Bitch, I'm me! "Stand Up" - Ludacris
Cotterell Court · November 30, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread COLG -10.5 Home covered
O/U 141.5 Under
Money COLG -600 / BING +500
Model Predictions
Spread Total COLG win
Actual COLG +35 133 Won
Massey COLG -5.0 (+30.0) — —
Massey Totals — 136.3 (-3.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 76% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 82% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ COLG -5.6 (+29.4) 132.4 (+0.6) 70% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML COLG -3.8 (+31.2) 135.7 (-2.7) 63% ✓
Baseline ML COLG -3.4 (+31.6) 135.7 (-2.7) 61% ✓
Baseline Plus ML COLG -3.7 (+31.3) 134.9 (-1.9) 59% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 8, 2022 COLG 81 – 62 BING

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings COLG BING
Overall 25-10 15-15
Conference 16-2 7-9
Home 13-3 10-4
Away 10-5 5-11
Neutral 2-2 0-0
Last 5 2-3 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 70.1 69.7
Avg Pts Against 64.9 73.8
Massey -1.4 (#207) 0.0 (#163)
Bradley-Terry 0.14 (#175) 0.27 (#163)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.00 (#184) -0.05 (#190)
RPI 0.467 (#218) 0.496 (#181)
Shooting & Four Factors COLG BING
FG% 41.3% 43.9%
3PT% 31.7% 29.7%
REB / G 38.8 35.8
OREB / G 9.7 9.8
AST / TO 1.15 1.05
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.1% 49.1%
TOV% 18.5% 18.7%
ORB% 27.8% 28.2%
FT Rate 16.8% 25.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.3% 49.0%
Opp TOV% 12.6% 15.9%
DRB% 76.1% 69.6%
Opp FT Rate 18.0% 26.4%

Game Analysis

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