I'm going to Wichita, far from this opera for evermore. "Seven Nation Army" - The White Stripes
Events Center (Binghamton) · December 8, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread COLG -11.5 Away covered
O/U 146.5 Under
Money BING +550 / COLG -700
Model Predictions
Spread Total BING win
Actual COLG +19 143 Lost
Massey COLG -7.0 (-12.0) — —
Massey Totals — 155.2 (-12.2) —
Bradley-Terry — — 26% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 6% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ COLG -7.4 (-11.6) 142.4 (+0.6) 25% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML COLG -6.4 (-12.6) 150.2 (-7.2) 27% ✓
Baseline ML COLG -6.4 (-12.6) 150.5 (-7.5) 27% ✓
Baseline Plus ML COLG -6.1 (-12.9) 148.1 (-5.1) 30% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 30, 2023 COLG 84 – 49 BING

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings BING COLG
Overall 13-18 26-9
Conference 8-8 17-1
Home 8-7 14-2
Away 5-11 11-4
Neutral 0-0 1-3
Last 5 1-4 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 67.6 77.6
Avg Pts Against 72.5 69.6
Massey -10.7 (#335) 1.7 (#147)
Bradley-Terry -2.03 (#323) 0.09 (#170)
W. Bradley-Terry -3.39 (#331) 0.53 (#141)
RPI 0.411 (#305) 0.506 (#171)
Shooting & Four Factors BING COLG
FG% 42.9% 49.5%
3PT% 30.1% 41.2%
REB / G 36.4 34.6
OREB / G 11.6 9.7
AST / TO 0.74 1.29
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.3% 57.8%
TOV% 21.8% 19.5%
ORB% 32.0% 30.4%
FT Rate 19.9% 18.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.5% 54.5%
Opp TOV% 15.3% 18.2%
DRB% 73.7% 72.3%
Opp FT Rate 23.9% 15.0%

Game Analysis

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