Betting Lines
| Spread | YALE -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | YALE -1200 STBK +850 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YALE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YALE +8 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | YALE -15.3 (-7.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.4 (+5.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YALE -14.4 (-6.4) | 144.2 (+5.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YALE -11.0 (-3.0) | 143.2 (+6.8) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YALE -11.5 (-3.5) | 142.6 (+7.4) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YALE -10.8 (-2.8) | 143.3 (+6.7) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 15, 2025 | YALE 86 – 79 STBK |
| Nov 20, 2024 | YALE 86 – 64 STBK |
| Dec 3, 2022 | YALE 77 – 72 STBK |
| Nov 28, 2021 | STBK 85 – 81 YALE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YALE | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-10 | 20-15 |
| Conference | 11-3 | 10-8 |
| Home | 9-2 | 13-3 |
| Away | 9-6 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.2 | 73.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.9 | 73.0 |
| Massey | 3.4 (#116) | -5.4 (#270) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.81 (#118) | -0.66 (#238) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.03 (#127) | -1.25 (#250) |
| RPI | 0.538 (#125) | 0.467 (#217) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YALE | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 37.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 25.5% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.30 | 0.69 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 42.4% |
| TOV% | 13.6% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 22.1% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 19.0% | 17.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 54.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 62.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.4% | 13.6% |
Game Analysis
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