Betting Lines
| Spread | YALE -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | YALE -280 STBK +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YALE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STBK +4 | 166 | Lost |
| Massey | YALE -15.3 (-19.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.0 (+27.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YALE -10.5 (-14.5) | 145.1 (+20.9) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YALE -11.6 (-15.6) | 141.6 (+24.4) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | YALE -12.6 (-16.6) | 141.4 (+24.6) | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YALE -11.8 (-15.8) | 142.2 (+23.8) | 83% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 15, 2025 | YALE 86 – 79 STBK |
| Nov 20, 2024 | YALE 86 – 64 STBK |
| Nov 30, 2023 | YALE 79 – 71 STBK |
| Dec 3, 2022 | YALE 77 – 72 STBK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YALE | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-12 | 18-13 |
| Conference | 11-3 | 10-8 |
| Home | 10-3 | 13-4 |
| Away | 6-6 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-3 |
| Streak | L1 | W2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.3 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.0 | 73.7 |
| Massey | 2.9 (#124) | -5.6 (#279) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.32 (#162) | -1.00 (#257) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.79 (#142) | -1.60 (#260) |
| RPI | 0.498 (#181) | 0.388 (#313) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YALE | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 40.1% |
| 3PT% | 29.5% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 31.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 46.1% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 14.2% |
| ORB% | 23.7% | 20.8% |
| FT Rate | 18.9% | 10.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.2% | 57.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.8% | 12.8% |
Game Analysis
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