Betting Lines
| Spread | YALE -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | STBK +340 YALE -500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STBK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YALE +22 | 150 | Lost |
| Massey | YALE -6.6 (-15.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.8 (-8.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YALE -7.0 (-15.0) | 145.1 (+4.9) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YALE -3.3 (-18.7) | 149.7 (+0.3) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YALE -2.3 (-19.7) | 149.7 (+0.3) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YALE -2.7 (-19.3) | 149.2 (+0.8) | 33% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 15, 2025 | YALE 86 – 79 STBK |
| Nov 30, 2023 | YALE 79 – 71 STBK |
| Dec 3, 2022 | YALE 77 – 72 STBK |
| Nov 28, 2021 | STBK 85 – 81 YALE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STBK | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-24 | 22-8 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 13-1 |
| Home | 5-9 | 11-0 |
| Away | 3-13 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-2 | 1-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.6 | 80.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.1 | 70.9 |
| Massey | -8.3 (#312) | 5.2 (#82) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.97 (#44) | -0.39 (#212) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.85 (#93) | -0.20 (#198) |
| RPI | 0.605 (#73) | 0.452 (#243) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STBK | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.6% | 46.8% |
| 3PT% | 27.5% | 39.3% |
| REB / G | 31.7 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.0% | 53.9% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 35.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 25.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 61.4% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 13.1% |
| DRB% | 61.5% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 31.9% |
Game Analysis
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