Betting Lines
| Spread | YALE -20.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | YALE -4000 STBK +1300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YALE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YALE +7 | 165 | Won |
| Massey | YALE -37.3 (-30.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.1 (+5.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YALE -22.9 (-15.9) | 153.4 (+11.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YALE -30.2 (-23.2) | 151.4 (+13.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YALE -30.7 (-23.7) | 151.5 (+13.5) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 20, 2024 | YALE 86 – 64 STBK |
| Nov 30, 2023 | YALE 79 – 71 STBK |
| Dec 3, 2022 | YALE 77 – 72 STBK |
| Nov 28, 2021 | STBK 85 – 81 YALE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YALE | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-7 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 11-3 | 9-9 |
| Home | 10-3 | 12-4 |
| Away | 9-3 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.1 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.8 | 72.5 |
| Massey | 28.0 (#1) | 0.7 (#161) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.90 (#1) | 0.41 (#146) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 6.33 (#1) | 0.56 (#146) |
| RPI | 0.694 (#41) | 0.500 (#172) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YALE | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 54.6% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 50.0% | 20.0% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 42.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.70 | 1.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 63.1% | 45.2% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 11.3% |
| ORB% | 39.3% | 24.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.0% | 44.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.4% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 86.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 29.4% |
Game Analysis
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