You scumbag, you maggot, you cheap lousy faggot "Fairytale of New York" - The Pogues
Charles Koch Arena · November 30, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread WICH -3.5 Home covered
O/U 141.5 Over
Money WICH -138 / RICH +150
Model Predictions
Spread Total WICH win
Actual WICH +12 148 Won
Massey WICH -2.2 (+9.8) — —
Massey Totals — 141.8 (+6.2) —
Bradley-Terry — — 95% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 99% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WICH -4.2 (+7.8) 145.5 (+2.5) 75% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML WICH -4.1 (+7.9) 141.5 (+6.5) 69% ✓
Baseline ML WICH -4.5 (+7.5) 141.4 (+6.6) 67% ✓
Baseline Plus ML WICH -5.7 (+6.3) 142.8 (+5.2) 74% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 18, 2022 WICH 56 – 53 RICH

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WICH RICH
Overall 15-19 23-10
Conference 5-13 15-3
Home 10-5 15-1
Away 2-9 7-6
Neutral 3-5 1-3
Last 5 4-1 3-2
Streak L1 L3
Avg Pts For 72.1 71.9
Avg Pts Against 73.3 66.3
Massey 4.6 (#104) 8.9 (#53)
Bradley-Terry 2.01 (#49) 0.33 (#155)
W. Bradley-Terry 3.47 (#40) 0.60 (#146)
RPI 0.615 (#48) 0.502 (#167)
Shooting & Four Factors WICH RICH
FG% 46.6% 50.3%
3PT% 29.5% 37.6%
REB / G 44.2 33.7
OREB / G 11.2 6.5
AST / TO 1.00 1.81
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.1% 57.2%
TOV% 16.3% 11.7%
ORB% 31.0% 20.7%
FT Rate 23.1% 16.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 42.6% 44.4%
Opp TOV% 12.7% 19.7%
DRB% 73.1% 70.6%
Opp FT Rate 15.8% 18.6%

Game Analysis

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