Betting Lines
| Spread | RICH -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
| Money | RICH -175 WICH +175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WICH +3 | 109 | Lost |
| Massey | RICH -14.4 (-17.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.5 (-24.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICH -7.8 (-10.8) | 143.1 (-34.1) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICH -10.8 (-13.8) | 138.5 (-29.5) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | RICH -12.9 (-15.9) | 137.8 (-28.8) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICH -12.4 (-15.4) | 140.8 (-31.8) | 75% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 30, 2023 | WICH 80 – 68 RICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICH | WICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 9-9 |
| Home | 12-4 | 8-9 |
| Away | 1-11 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-1 | 1-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.9 | 71.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.8 | 68.5 |
| Massey | 5.4 (#78) | -0.2 (#183) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.24 (#148) | -0.70 (#252) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.48 (#142) | -0.90 (#247) |
| RPI | 0.451 (#226) | 0.575 (#110) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICH | WICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 22.2% |
| REB / G | 40.0 | 39.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 46.6% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 23.2% | 29.2% |
| FT Rate | 30.5% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 39.6% | 41.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.8% | 12.5% |
Game Analysis
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