Betting Lines
| Spread | FLA -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 156.0 Under |
| Money | WAKE +178 FLA -215 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WAKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WAKE +11 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | FLA -2.7 (+13.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 168.3 (-15.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 33% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 16% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FLA -2.7 (+13.7) | 155.1 (-2.1) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FLA -1.9 (+12.9) | 155.7 (-2.7) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FLA -1.6 (+12.6) | 156.2 (-3.2) | 41% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FLA -2.5 (+13.5) | 157.4 (-4.4) | 36% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 28, 2024 | FLA 75 – 58 WAKE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WAKE | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-14 | 24-12 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 11-7 |
| Home | 17-2 | 14-1 |
| Away | 2-9 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 7-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.1 | 85.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.7 | 79.2 |
| Massey | 1.5 (#140) | 10.6 (#36) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.80 (#248) | 1.18 (#87) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.92 (#236) | 2.15 (#75) |
| RPI | 0.454 (#237) | 0.599 (#58) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WAKE | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 48.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 42.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 16.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.30 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.3% | 53.5% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 25.8% | 44.1% |
| FT Rate | 25.7% | 28.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 67.9% | 67.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
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