Betting Lines
| Spread | WRST -17.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | WRST -2500 IUIN +1400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WRST +29 | 177 | Won |
| Massey | WRST -21.4 (+7.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.8 (+23.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WRST -14.4 (+14.6) | 147.1 (+29.9) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WRST -14.2 (+14.8) | 149.6 (+27.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WRST -14.4 (+14.6) | 149.1 (+27.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WRST -13.8 (+15.2) | 145.9 (+31.1) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | WRST 85 – 73 IUIN |
| Jan 4, 2026 | WRST 81 – 77 IUIN |
| Mar 5, 2025 | WRST 98 – 85 IUIN |
| Mar 1, 2025 | IUIN 91 – 84 WRST |
| Feb 9, 2025 | WRST 91 – 73 IUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WRST | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 6-26 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 2-18 |
| Home | 9-7 | 4-10 |
| Away | 7-6 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L12 |
| Avg Pts For | 86.2 | 64.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.8 | 81.2 |
| Massey | 2.7 (#126) | -12.3 (#342) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.06 (#190) | -1.43 (#286) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.39 (#105) | -2.23 (#288) |
| RPI | 0.538 (#124) | 0.440 (#259) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WRST | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.9% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 20.3% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 0.58 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.3% | 45.0% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 31.4% | 33.9% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 18.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.8% | 55.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.8% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 74.7% | 65.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 27.4% |
Game Analysis
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