Betting Lines
| Spread | ODU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | ODU -110 RAD +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ODU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ODU +1 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | ODU -2.3 (-1.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.5 (-1.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ODU -2.3 (-1.3) | 139.5 (-2.5) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ODU -2.1 (-1.1) | 139.9 (-2.9) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ODU -2.6 (-1.6) | 139.8 (-2.8) | 59% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ODU -1.7 (-0.7) | 136.8 (+0.2) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 13, 2024 | RAD 87 – 75 ODU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ODU | RAD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 5-11 |
| Home | 5-10 | 8-5 |
| Away | 1-12 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 4-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.6 | 72.9 |
| Massey | -2.9 (#231) | 1.3 (#143) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.58 (#231) | 0.41 (#148) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.88 (#232) | 0.53 (#157) |
| RPI | 0.497 (#177) | 0.538 (#123) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ODU | RAD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 38.6% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 37.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.69 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.0% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 26.5% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 13.0% | 16.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 14.4% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.6% | 25.7% |
Game Analysis
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