Betting Lines
| Spread | RAD -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | RAD -145 ODU +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RAD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RAD +12 | 162 | Won |
| Massey | RAD -18.3 (-6.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.0 (+5.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RAD -12.2 (-0.2) | 149.7 (+12.3) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RAD -12.4 (-0.4) | 151.4 (+10.6) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RAD -10.8 (+1.2) | 150.7 (+11.3) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 30, 2023 | ODU 69 – 68 RAD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RAD | ODU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 15-20 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 8-10 |
| Home | 10-3 | 7-9 |
| Away | 7-9 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.7 | 67.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 72.8 |
| Massey | -7.0 (#316) | -14.3 (#355) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.20 (#160) | -2.24 (#349) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.29 (#160) | -2.64 (#337) |
| RPI | 0.719 (#40) | 0.312 (#267) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RAD | ODU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.2% | 38.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 15.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 0.52 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.3% | 43.3% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 22.3% |
| ORB% | 32.9% | 34.4% |
| FT Rate | 34.8% | 7.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 59.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.2% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 66.7% | 59.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 35.8% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
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