Betting Lines
| Spread | USC -18.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | USC -2000 EWU +1050 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USC +28 | 184 | Won |
| Massey | USC -18.7 (+9.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.2 (+33.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USC -13.3 (+14.7) | 149.1 (+34.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USC -15.3 (+12.7) | 148.0 (+36.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | USC -16.8 (+11.2) | 147.8 (+36.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USC -17.2 (+10.8) | 146.6 (+37.4) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USC | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 21-11 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 15-3 |
| Home | 9-6 | 11-1 |
| Away | 3-9 | 10-9 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 79.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 77.6 |
| Massey | 7.4 (#63) | -4.8 (#257) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.14 (#90) | -1.91 (#310) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.71 (#90) | -3.26 (#323) |
| RPI | 0.585 (#67) | 0.486 (#198) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USC | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 37.7 | 30.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 6.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 20.7% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 19.3% |
| FT Rate | 31.6% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.8% | 56.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 13.5% |
| DRB% | 67.9% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.0% | 30.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.