Betting Lines
| Spread | UALB -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | UALB -333 BU +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UALB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UALB +14 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | UALB -11.1 (+2.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.6 (+17.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UALB -7.6 (+6.4) | 142.1 (+15.9) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UALB -8.3 (+5.7) | 140.5 (+17.5) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UALB -8.2 (+5.8) | 139.5 (+18.5) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UALB -5.2 (+8.8) | 141.7 (+16.3) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 7, 2024 | BU 80 – 74 UALB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UALB | BU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 10-8 |
| Home | 7-5 | 9-7 |
| Away | 4-13 | 7-10 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.0 | 65.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.4 | 67.2 |
| Massey | 0.7 (#152) | -3.9 (#246) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.71 (#123) | -0.93 (#255) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.57 (#153) | -0.72 (#224) |
| RPI | 0.533 (#131) | 0.378 (#324) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UALB | BU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 37.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 38.2 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 43.9% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 34.3% | 20.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 14.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.6% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 76.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.2% | 26.4% |
Game Analysis
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