Betting Lines
| Spread | JMU -22.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 159.5 Under |
| Money | JMU -8000 BUF +3300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JMU +15 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | JMU -35.7 (-20.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 170.7 (-23.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JMU -20.8 (-5.8) | 158.3 (-11.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JMU -23.9 (-8.9) | 159.2 (-12.2) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JMU -31.4 (-16.4) | 160.6 (-13.6) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JMU -31.5 (-16.5) | 159.4 (-12.4) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 12, 2022 | JMU 97 – 62 BUF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JMU | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 32-4 | 4-27 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 2-16 |
| Home | 14-1 | 2-13 |
| Away | 12-2 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 6-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.9 | 67.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 79.6 |
| Massey | 11.5 (#30) | -17.8 (#359) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.19 (#17) | -3.90 (#358) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.67 (#20) | -5.57 (#354) |
| RPI | 0.673 (#16) | 0.281 (#360) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JMU | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.1% | 39.4% |
| 3PT% | 39.6% | 28.1% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 14.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.38 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.3% | 45.7% |
| TOV% | 14.2% | 24.0% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 36.2% |
| FT Rate | 27.8% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 60.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 67.2% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.9% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
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