Betting Lines
| Spread | UNI -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
| Money | UNI -300 BEL +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BEL +20 | 160 | Lost |
| Massey | UNI -11.5 (-31.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 166.8 (-6.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNI -3.7 (-23.7) | 154.4 (+5.6) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNI -4.9 (-24.9) | 155.9 (+4.1) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNI -4.4 (-24.4) | 154.1 (+5.9) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNI -5.0 (-25.0) | 156.0 (+4.0) | 71% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | BEL 91 – 86 UNI |
| Jan 8, 2026 | BEL 78 – 65 UNI |
| Feb 20, 2025 | UNI 82 – 75 BEL |
| Jan 2, 2025 | UNI 76 – 70 BEL |
| Mar 8, 2024 | UNI 67 – 62 BEL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNI | BEL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 12-8 |
| Home | 11-3 | 12-2 |
| Away | 6-8 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.7 | 77.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.8 | 76.1 |
| Massey | 2.9 (#120) | -2.1 (#217) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.43 (#287) | 0.87 (#108) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.64 (#262) | 1.03 (#129) |
| RPI | 0.449 (#249) | 0.527 (#137) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNI | BEL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 47.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 36.6% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 7.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.29 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 54.3% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 20.9% |
| FT Rate | 18.9% | 20.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 54.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 75.3% | 66.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.4% | 20.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.